Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.219962 0.262566 0.310416 0.368020 0.435362 0.511472 0.603880
2025-02-16 0.152821 0.206111 0.272804 0.361898 0.477235 0.620875 0.812608
2025-02-23 0.113596 0.168156 0.242254 0.349216 0.498434 0.697773 0.982472
2025-03-02 0.086685 0.138942 0.215005 0.332172 0.506069 0.752119 1.123351
2025-03-09 0.074166 0.127218 0.209105 0.342307 0.550440 0.859195 1.346384
2025-03-16 0.059779 0.109434 0.190489 0.329310 0.556939 0.909801 1.490114
2025-03-23 0.052381 0.101575 0.185927 0.337039 0.595392 1.011314 1.719959
2025-03-30 0.046034 0.094260 0.180870 0.342679 0.630244 1.109607 1.953246
2025-04-06 0.039454 0.085230 0.171245 0.338640 0.647461 1.179759 2.146001
2025-04-13 0.034086 0.077517 0.162732 0.335116 0.664553 1.250465 2.345183
2025-04-20 0.031148 0.074202 0.162026 0.345943 0.708601 1.371716 2.642561
2025-04-27 0.030506 0.075662 0.170920 0.376430 0.792672 1.571932 3.097910
2025-05-04 0.027931 0.072581 0.170488 0.389041 0.845428 1.723032 3.484001
2025-05-11 0.024293 0.066371 0.162538 0.385135 0.865226 1.814797 3.769487
2025-05-18 0.020552 0.059118 0.151065 0.371877 0.863916 1.865070 3.979328
2025-05-25 0.017112 0.051866 0.138337 0.353824 0.849889 1.888025 4.136545
2025-06-01 0.015798 0.050000 0.138146 0.364568 0.899827 2.045846 4.579322
2025-06-08 0.013407 0.044598 0.128284 0.350791 0.892845 2.083661 4.777351
2025-06-15 0.012348 0.042836 0.127447 0.358985 0.937302 2.235115 5.226991
2025-06-22 0.011307 0.040902 0.125834 0.364963 0.977101 2.379786 5.673873
2025-06-29 0.009999 0.037825 0.120576 0.360681 0.991425 2.468721 6.005846
2025-07-06 0.008874 0.035080 0.115787 0.356946 1.006593 2.560756 6.352135
2025-07-13 0.008342 0.034254 0.116483 0.368422 1.061764 2.750479 6.935612